Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000268 0.000300 0.000335 0.000376 0.000423 0.000474 0.000534
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000216 0.000264 0.000321 0.000394 0.000484 0.000593 0.000736
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000175 0.000228 0.000296 0.000387 0.000510 0.000670 0.000894
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000205 0.000279 0.000386 0.000538 0.000747 0.001061
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000184 0.000262 0.000379 0.000553 0.000806 0.001208
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000173 0.000254 0.000384 0.000585 0.000892 0.001402
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000162 0.000247 0.000387 0.000614 0.000974 0.001602
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000145 0.000229 0.000369 0.000607 0.000998 0.001709
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000137 0.000222 0.000371 0.000631 0.001075 0.001914
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000135 0.000225 0.000388 0.000681 0.001202 0.002226
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000126 0.000215 0.000380 0.000687 0.001250 0.002397
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000114 0.000199 0.000362 0.000673 0.001259 0.002493
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000110 0.000197 0.000367 0.000703 0.001359 0.002791
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000109 0.000200 0.000384 0.000760 0.001519 0.003242
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000102 0.000192 0.000378 0.000769 0.001584 0.003499
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000097 0.000187 0.000377 0.000788 0.001672 0.003823
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000091 0.000179 0.000369 0.000793 0.001728 0.004079
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000088 0.000177 0.000374 0.000825 0.001850 0.004514
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000085 0.000174 0.000377 0.000853 0.001967 0.004956
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000078 0.000163 0.000361 0.000833 0.001966 0.005094
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000076 0.000160 0.000362 0.000857 0.002077 0.005549
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000076 0.000164 0.000378 0.000918 0.002289 0.006320
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000072 0.000157 0.000370 0.000918 0.002343 0.006653